Welcome to Valorant projections! We have a 2 game slate today, and I’m actually posting 2 different set of projections. The reason for that is I disagree with one of the Vegas lines. Vegas is giving 100T a 60% chance to win against Envy. I think that’s wrong and Envy should be slight favorites, I’ll go into detail on why in my article. Since I factor Vegas into my projections, that obviously makes a pretty big difference. However, I want to post both so that my own potential bias doesn’t cloud the projections. I’ll be making my lineups based on the 2nd set, where I chance the odds to 55/45 in Envy’s favor. Anyways here are the projections with the original odds (60/40 in favor of 100T):

Team Player Price FP/R Projection Value
100T Asuna 8800 1.50 90.56 10.29
100T nitr0 6800 1.33 80.50 11.84
100T Hiko 6400 1.29 77.99 12.19
100T Ethan 7400 1.06 64.55 8.72
100T steel 5200 0.78 48.27 9.28
NV Victor 8000 1.41 72.39 9.05
NV crashies 7200 1.38 71.00 9.86
NV Marved 6200 1.26 64.96 10.48
NV FNS 4600 1.11 57.77 12.56
NV mummAy 5400 0.95 49.88 9.24
Sentinels Tenz 9200 1.50 82.88 9.01
Sentinels ShahZaM 7800 1.25 72.14 9.25
Sentinels dapr 7600 1.13 67.23 8.85
Sentinels SicK 9000 1.12 66.77 7.42
Sentinels zombs 5800 0.96 59.88 10.32
XSET AYRIN 5000 1.39 55.08 11.02
XSET zekken 8400 1.38 54.92 6.54
XSET dephh 4800 1.30 52.45 10.93
XSET PureR 5600 1.29 52.32 9.34
XSET BcJ 6000 1.05 45.21 7.53

And here are the projections with NV as 55/45 favorites. Xset and Sentinels are the same in both sets of projections. Again this second set is what I’ll be using to make my own lineups:

Team Player Price FP/R Projection Value
100T Asuna 8800 1.50 83.13 9.45
100T nitr0 6800 1.33 73.92 10.87
100T Hiko 6400 1.29 71.62 11.19
100T Ethan 7400 1.06 59.33 8.02
100T steel 5200 0.78 44.42 8.54
NV Victor 8000 1.41 79.37 9.92
NV crashies 7200 1.38 77.84 10.81
NV Marved 6200 1.26 71.20 11.48
NV FNS 4600 1.11 63.28 13.76
NV mummAy 5400 0.95 54.60 10.11
Sentinels Tenz 9200 1.50 82.88 9.01
Sentinels ShahZaM 7800 1.25 72.14 9.25
Sentinels dapr 7600 1.13 67.23 8.85
Sentinels SicK 9000 1.12 66.77 7.42
Sentinels zombs 5800 0.96 59.88 10.32
XSET AYRIN 5000 1.39 55.08 11.02
XSET zekken 8400 1.38 54.92 6.54
XSET dephh 4800 1.30 52.45 10.93
XSET PureR 5600 1.29 52.32 9.34
XSET BcJ 6000 1.05 45.21 7.53

Good luck on Friday!

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