Hi again. I’ve created some fairly basic Valorant projections for Thursday’s slate. Basically, I calculated fantasy points per round and then used Vegas odds compared to recent win percentage to adjust the projection.

What I mean by that is if a team has won 50% of their recent maps but have 75% implied odds, their projections get a slight boost. On the flip side, if a team has recently won 90% of it’s maps but only have a 60% chance to win, they get a slight downgrade. These projections are definitely NOT, “if team A wins, what will they score”. If you want to get play a bunch of underdogs, you’ll likely need to force them in via building rules (if there are even any builders yet).

Also, I apologize for the format, I’m still working on getting it set up nicely like the CSGO/LoL projections, I just wanted to get them up here for you guys tonight before it’s too late. I’d recommend copy pasting them into excel if you want to do any sorting or filtering on them. If you have any questions about the projections, I’m always available via discord or on twitter. Anyways here they are:

Team Player Price Projection Value
Fnatic Derke 9800 97.70 9.97
Fnatic doma 7800 85.90 11.01
Fnatic MAGNUM 7000 76.46 10.92
Fnatic Boaster 5400 75.89 14.05
Fnatic Mistic 4600 69.57 15.12
Kru Esports Mazino 9200 57.00 6.20
Kru Esports NagZ 8200 54.76 6.68
Kru Esports Klaus 5800 53.40 9.21
Kru Esports bnj 7600 52.33 6.89
Kru Esports delz1k 6800 49.68 7.31
Liquid ScreaM 10000 93.41 9.34
Liquid Kryptix 6600 74.72 11.32
Liquid Jamppi 6200 70.73 11.41
Liquid soulcas 6000 66.96 11.16
Liquid L1NK 4800 62.72 13.07
NUTURN Lakia 8000 73.43 9.18
NUTURN allow 8600 64.11 7.45
NUTURN Suggest 8400 61.52 7.32
NUTURN peri 4200 57.62 13.72
NUTURN solo 4000 56.44 14.11
Version1 Zellsis 9600 80.12 8.35
Version1 penny 8800 78.02 8.87
Version1 Jammyz 5200 72.85 14.01
Version1 vanity 5000 70.50 14.10
Version1 effys 5600 69.12 12.34
X10 Patiphan 9400 70.32 7.48
X10 foxz 7400 64.00 8.65
X10 sScary 7200 60.17 8.36
X10 Crws 6400 57.20 8.94
X10 Sushiboys 4000 53.37 13.34

Good luck on Thursday!

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