It’s the final day of the Group Stage at TI. In Group A, IG has already locked in 1st place while Thunder Predator has locked in last place and is eliminated. I’d expect IG will want to stay hot going into the playoffs and will of course want to take down the 2 time defending champs in OG, but we could still see an experimental draft or two from them. Thunder Predator are trying to not go home winless. I’d expect them to give their all, but they may also just be dejected and we could see an early GG out. For that reason even though MNZ’s levels over is technically my top rated play, I am NOT a huge fan of it, I’ll likely skip it in most of my parlays.

Anyways, here are the numbers for Sunday (again, be vary wary of MNZ’s overs):

Player Position Stat Line Projection Difference O/U
mnz 1 Levels 40.5 44.7 4.20 Over
yawar 1 Kills 9.5 13.6 4.15 Over
monet 1 Kills 16.5 12.8 3.74 Under
flyfly 1 Kills 16.5 12.8 3.67 Under
raven 1 Levels 41.5 45.1 3.61 Over
timado 1 Kills 14.5 10.9 3.58 Under
somnus 2 Kills 12.5 15.9 3.39 Over
23savage 1 Kills 13.5 16.8 3.33 Over
k1 1 Deaths 4.5 7.8 3.26 Over
timado 1 Levels 42.5 45.5 2.97 Over
quinn 2 Kills 10.5 13.4 2.85 Over
mnz 1 Kills 10.5 13.3 2.83 Over
eurus 1 Deaths 5.5 8.3 2.82 Over
arteezy 1 Kills 12.5 15.2 2.66 Over
raven 1 Kills 17.5 14.9 2.63 Under
ori 2 Kills 16.5 14.0 2.47 Under
yawar 1 Deaths 6.5 4.0 2.47 Under
chris luck 2 Kills 14.5 12.1 2.42 Under
flyfly 1 Deaths 4.5 6.8 2.35 Over
quinn 2 Levels 42.5 44.8 2.33 Over
quinn 2 Deaths 12.5 10.2 2.30 Under
chris luck 2 Levels 41.5 43.8 2.29 Over
nothingtosay 2 Kills 18.5 16.4 2.12 Under
nothingtosay 2 Deaths 4.5 6.6 2.09 Over
ori 2 Deaths 6.5 8.4 1.94 Over
nisha 2 Kills 17.5 15.6 1.90 Under
eurus 1 Levels 43.5 45.4 1.87 Over
torontotokyo 2 Levels 45.5 47.4 1.86 Over
23savage 1 Levels 46.5 48.3 1.83 Over
chris luck 2 Deaths 9.5 11.3 1.81 Over
nightfall 1 Kills 16.5 14.8 1.73 Under
23savage 1 Deaths 6.5 4.8 1.69 Under
k1 1 Kills 13.5 11.9 1.59 Under
yatoro 1 Levels 45.5 47.0 1.53 Over
mnz 1 Deaths 10.5 9.0 1.48 Under
nightfall 1 Deaths 5.5 4.0 1.47 Under
matumbaman 1 Levels 46.5 47.9 1.43 Over
4dr 2 Levels 42.5 43.9 1.37 Over
timado 1 Deaths 4.5 5.8 1.35 Over
yatoro 1 Kills 13.5 14.7 1.20 Over
sumail 1 Levels 45.5 46.7 1.20 Over
costabile 1 Kills 10.5 11.7 1.16 Over
flyfly 1 Levels 47.5 46.3 1.16 Under
Ame 1 Kills 12.5 13.7 1.15 Over
Ame 1 Deaths 4.5 5.6 1.07 Over
arteezy 1 Levels 46.5 47.6 1.07 Over
yawar 1 Levels 46.5 47.6 1.06 Over
matumbaman 1 Kills 18.5 17.5 1.03 Under
nisha 2 Levels 46.5 45.5 1.03 Under
costabile 1 Levels 44.5 45.5 0.98 Over
nothingtosay 2 Levels 46.5 47.4 0.94 Over
sumail 1 Kills 16.5 17.3 0.83 Over
ori 2 Levels 46.5 45.8 0.74 Under
torontotokyo 2 Kills 13.5 14.2 0.67 Over
torontotokyo 2 Deaths 4.5 5.2 0.67 Over
4dr 2 Kills 10.5 11.1 0.64 Over
nisha 2 Deaths 8.5 7.9 0.56 Under
matumbaman 1 Deaths 7.5 6.9 0.55 Under
monet 1 Deaths 6.5 7.0 0.53 Over
yatoro 1 Deaths 4.5 5.0 0.53 Over
k1 1 Levels 45.5 46.0 0.51 Over
eurus 1 Kills 11.5 11.9 0.42 Over
somnus 2 Deaths 6.5 6.1 0.38 Under
nightfall 1 Levels 47.5 47.8 0.26 Over
arteezy 1 Deaths 4.5 4.7 0.25 Over
raven 1 Deaths 6.5 6.7 0.25 Over
monet 1 Levels 45.5 45.3 0.22 Under
Ame 1 Levels 47.5 47.7 0.17 Over
4dr 2 Deaths 8.5 8.3 0.15 Under
costabile 1 Deaths 9.5 9.6 0.14 Over
somnus 2 Levels 46.5 46.4 0.10 Under
sumail 1 Deaths 6.5 6.4 0.08 Under

Lines are again a lot tighter than the first couple days, try to make correlated plays. Kills tend to correlate with opponent deaths (not exactly, as supports die the most regardless), while levels correlate positively, aka both players from a game going under or both going over, as player level is usually most correlated with game length.

Good luck on Sunday!

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