Hi everyone! This post has my Dota projections for the 6/2 slate. I’ve taken recent stats from all of the players and teams in both wins and losses, and used them to build out these projections.

The games Wednesday are Bo2, meaning that we don’t have to worry about any games not played. Taking a page out of how our LoL projections work, I’ve made projections for each possible outcome, a 2-0 win, a 1-1 tie, or a 2-0 loss. Here they are:

Team Player DK Role Position Matchup 2-0 Projection 1-1 Projection 0-2 Projection
Execration Palos Core 1 VG 128.0 82.6 37.3
Execration Yowe Core 2 VG 128.0 82.9 37.8
Execration Nikko Core 3 VG 124.8 80.1 35.3
Execration BDz Support 4 VG 114.0 74.4 34.8
Execration RR Support 5 VG 87.8 57.7 27.7
Nigma iLTW Core 1 IG 100.8 91.1 81.4
Nigma Miracle- Core 2 IG 114.2 87.4 60.7
Nigma MinD_Control Core 3 IG 101.5 82.6 63.7
Nigma GH Support 4 IG 89.4 75.3 61.2
Nigma Kuroky Support 5 IG 81.1 64.9 48.8
Secret Matumbaman Core 1 Gambit 102.3 89.3 76.3
Secret Nisha Core 2 Gambit 109.6 93.1 76.6
Secret Zai Core 3 Gambit 73.8 63.4 53.0
Secret Yapzor Support 4 Gambit 64.8 58.1 51.5
Secret Puppey Support 5 Gambit 70.9 63.3 55.6
VG Poyoyo Core 1 Execration 120.9 101.1 81.4
VG Ori Core 2 Execration 119.5 102.4 85.3
VG Old Eleven Core 3 Execration 104.5 87.0 69.4
VG Pyw Support 4 Execration 95.0 77.8 60.7
VG DY Support 5 Execration 74.4 57.5 40.6
IG FlyFly Core 1 Nigma 134.0 93.4 52.8
IG Emo Core 2 Nigma 155.4 109.0 62.5
IG JT Core 3 Nigma 140.8 97.3 53.7
IG Kaka Support 4 Nigma 114.5 75.6 36.8
IG Super Support 5 Nigma 96.2 70.5 34.2
Gambit Dream Core 1 Secret 117.6 75.8 34.0
Gambit Lorenof Core 2 Secret 112.6 82.1 51.5
Gambit Afterlife Core 3 Secret 85.9 54.6 23.4
Gambit Immersion Support 4 Secret 87.6 54.9 22.2
Gambit 633 Support 5 Secret 103.7 64.8 26.0

Keep in mind that Lorenof and 633 are new to Gambit, their stats come from the EU East Lower division. I’d expect them to play fairly similarly for Gambit, but 633 in particular has very kill participation for a position 5, that could drop for Gambit. Also, Super hasn’t played a professional game since 2018, he’s IG’s coach. I used Oli’s stats minus 10% to get his projection. Position 5 is the least mechanically demanding position, it’s more about game knowledge, so I don’t think you’ll see a huge drop-off in fantasy production going from Oli to Super (in wins at least). Super is of course well in tune with IG’s strategy seeing as he’s their coach.

As always, I’m happy to answer any questions you have on Discord or on Twitter!

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