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DFS Analysis – Thrive Fantasy Picks (March 27, Mid-Season Showdown Week 2)

By March 27, 2021No Comments

Hello Esports Department Subscribers! This year we have partnered with Thrive Fantasy to PropUp this season.

For those of you unfamiliar with what Thrive Fantasy is, it is a different version of Daily Fantasy Sports that is solely based around player props. Each prop has a designated point value to it and your goal is to score the most points by selecting five different props (players must play to count, so you cannot just select a non-starter and choose the under).

Available Props:

Recap of last week:

Well this series went pretty much as I had expected it to go, other than it was a little sloppier than I anticipated. Alphari finished with only 11 kills unfortunately (7 in game 4, so this was a bit of a letdown).  SwordArt finished the series with 13 deaths easily hitting the over 7.5 prop. Tactical finished with a combined 26 kills + deaths getting there without much of a sweat.

This week I will be covering the TSM vs. EG game for the “Mid-Season Showdown”

My Picks:

This week I am predicting a TSM win, and I am going to operate under the assumption that we get at least 4 games, with the possibility of this series going 5 games. Let us get to my first selection.

Spica over 9.5 kill

I am going to start with probably one of my most selected props on thrive this year, the prop that offers 100 points for the over and under. Spica is averaging 3.38 kills per win and 1.54 kills per loss. If TSM is going to be winning 3 games today, I expect Spica to have an impact on those wins by getting some kills. For this one I think taking the over for 100 points is a good choice.

Jiizuke over 17.5 kills + deaths

Jiizuke is a play making player who is usually pretty active around the map in both wins and losses. Sometimes positive other times he may appear to be inting. Through the first 2021 split he is averaging 5.55 kills + deaths in losses and 7.43 kills + deaths in wins. With that said I think 17.5 kills + deaths in a series I am expecting to go at least 4 games, this 17.5 number is too low. I recommend taking the 95 points for the over 17.5 kills + assist for Jiizuke here.

SwordArt over 7.5 kills

This number just looks too low to me. SwordArt averaged 3.84 deaths/loss and 2.06 deaths/win through the spring split. Even with the expectation that TSM wins this series 3-1 I think SwordArt will die at least 8 times in this series. We’re being offered 95 points for this one and I think taking the over is one of the better opportunities on this one game slate.

Best of luck in your contests this week!

It is great to have League of Legends back and I hope you guys are excited as well. Download ThriveFantasy on the App Store with Promo code “TED” or Play Store or by clicking this link: https://www.thrivefantasy.com/lol&utm_source=TED.

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