Well the first day of this challenge could’ve gone better. You could say my day went down in FlameZ. Horrible pun aside, FlameZ actually wrecked me. After a good first map he went negative in an OG win on Nuke. Not like his KD was negative, he actually scored -0.5 points on the map before RNP was added. Not great. Having him at cpt killed an otherwise solid single entry lineup and I had him at 45% in my multi-lineups, so he also killed most of my Mantuu lineups. My end results of Day 1 were:

1 Lineup – Entries: $20, Winnings: $0, New Bankroll: $80

Multi-Lineup – Entries: $20, Winnings: $5.50, New Bankroll: $85.50

I’ll put this in chart form once there are a few more data points.

On to Day 2

 

Day 2

This was a really hard slate, even building a single lineup I went through a couple iterations before landing on one I liked. My model kept wanting me to play Daps and I did not want to do that in Cash/SE.

1 Lineup – Current Bankroll: $80, Today’s Entries: $20

Contests: 2 $5 double ups (16 entrants each), 1 $5 Triple up (20 entrants), 1 $5 Single Entry GPP (71 entrants)

My Lineup:

I know I wanted S1mple and outside of that I just wanted to fit the best plays. I don’t feel great about having 2 punts in Tizian and Boombl4, but I’m hoping both their teams (writing this as Big is closing out Dust 2 for the sweep) get sweeps and they end up with a decent point per dollar. I was able to fit S1mple and Ropz, and B1t captain is something I like on this slate. acoR was almost a free square in cash because he was way too cheap.

Multi-Lineup – Current Bankroll: $85.50, Today’s Entries: $20

Contest: 20 entries in $1 GPP (20 entry max, 891 total entries)

Lineups:

Instead of posting every lineup in this section, I’ll be posting my team exposures and maybe highlighting a couple key plays. I build all 3/2/1 lineups on 3 game slates, so every lineup has a 3 stack and a 2 stack. Here are my stack exposures for Day 2 (8/27):

 

3 Stacks
Team % of Lineups (Number of lineups)
Big 25% (5)
Mouz 20% (4)
Navi 20% (4)
FNC 15% (3)
EG 10% (2)
Faze 10% (2)

 

2 Stacks
Team % of Lineups (Number of lineups)
Big 25% (5)
Mouz 20% (4)
Navi 20% (4)
FNC 15% (3)
EG 10% (2)
Faze 10% (2)

I know both tables here are exactly the same. I didn’t really do that on purpose, it just kind of worked out that way. I mentioned in my article that I liked Big, they’re my most stacked team. My model liked them from an ownership perspective relative to their win probability, and I was personally biased towards them because I don’t think EG are any good. Granted it’s easy to write that now that Big just closed out a 2 map sweep, but it was my line of thinking before the match too. I also thought Mouz should’ve been solid favorites over Faze, and my model agreed as I ended up with them tied for my 2nd most stacked team. 30% Fnatic stacks I believe is also well above the field, but that was more price based than it was “I think they’re going to win” based.

Hopefully Day 2 goes better than Day 1 did, check back tomorrow for results!

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